Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.018335 0.021339 0.024655 0.028584 0.033109 0.038155 0.044203
2025-12-07 0.013740 0.017591 0.022237 0.028241 0.035782 0.044926 0.056841
2025-12-14 0.010386 0.014451 0.019748 0.027126 0.037106 0.050102 0.068276
2025-12-21 0.008303 0.012435 0.018194 0.026760 0.039119 0.056238 0.081672
2025-12-28 0.007272 0.011618 0.018049 0.028177 0.043632 0.066213 0.101556
2026-01-04 0.006311 0.010699 0.017551 0.028919 0.047166 0.075133 0.120999
2026-01-11 0.005237 0.009387 0.016208 0.028086 0.048073 0.080100 0.134941
2026-01-18 0.004483 0.008461 0.015313 0.027793 0.049721 0.086310 0.151471
2026-01-25 0.003798 0.007531 0.014253 0.027026 0.050399 0.090915 0.165770
2026-02-01 0.003270 0.006792 0.013407 0.026486 0.051350 0.096008 0.181388
2026-02-08 0.002864 0.006218 0.012771 0.026222 0.052726 0.101938 0.199075
2026-02-15 0.002472 0.005601 0.011958 0.025488 0.053084 0.105991 0.213677
2026-02-22 0.002309 0.005449 0.012062 0.026627 0.057309 0.117917 0.244849
2026-03-01 0.002062 0.005069 0.011640 0.026620 0.059220 0.125576 0.268573
2026-03-08 0.001778 0.004556 0.010855 0.025719 0.059138 0.129223 0.284617
2026-03-15 0.001579 0.004210 0.010388 0.025448 0.060365 0.135679 0.307184
2026-03-22 0.001512 0.004176 0.010633 0.026839 0.065455 0.150860 0.350013
2026-03-29 0.001410 0.004035 0.010600 0.027568 0.069118 0.163325 0.388237
2026-04-05 0.001238 0.003677 0.009982 0.026783 0.069113 0.167610 0.408585
2026-04-12 0.001112 0.003424 0.009591 0.026508 0.070300 0.174725 0.436178
2026-04-19 0.000981 0.003132 0.009054 0.025777 0.070254 0.178936 0.457379
2026-04-26 0.000875 0.002893 0.008622 0.025263 0.070686 0.184326 0.481977
2026-05-03 0.000792 0.002706 0.008304 0.025011 0.071769 0.191410 0.511458